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Discussion on correction method of intelligent grid temperature forecast products in the eastern Hexi Corridor
LI Tianjiang, YANG Xiaoling, ZHANG Zhanwen, LI Yanying, NIE Xin
Journal of Arid Meteorology    2023, 41 (5): 802-810.   DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2023)-05-0802
Abstract106)   HTML2)    PDF(pc) (18314KB)(430)       Save

In order to improve correction ability and forecasting level of intelligent grid. Based on the slice data of Gansu Province of objective guidance product from Central Meteorological Observatory of China and daily grid temperature data from Chinese Land Data Assimilation System Version 2.0 (CLDAS-V2.0) of CMA, the maximum and minimum temperature of 0.05°×0.05° grid points in the eastern Hexi Corridor (101.0°E-104.5°E, 36.0°N-40.0°N) were corrected, tested and evaluated by using Kalman filtering method and sliding training correction method. The results are as follows: (1) For seasonal comparison, the mean absolute errors of maximum and minimum temperature of Kalman filter and sliding training correction products were both smaller than objective guidance product at all seasons, and all values were less than 2.00 ℃. The forecast accuracy of maximum and minimum temperature of Kalman filter and sliding training correction products were greater than 70% at all seasons. which the maximum temperature was 6%-13% higher and the minimum temperature was 8%-24% higher. (2) For spatial comparison, the mean absolute errors of the maximum and minimum temperature of Kalman filter and sliding training correction products were 1.00-2.00 ℃, but greater than 2.00 ℃ in a few areas. The forecast accuracy of maximum (minimum) temperature of Kalman filter and sliding training correction products were greater than 70% (60%-70%) in most areas, and greater than 80%(70%) in a few areas. (3) As a whole, the correction skills of maximum and minimum temperature of Kalman filter and sliding training correction products were basically positive, and were greater than 0.300 in a few seasons and a few areas. It showed that the two correction methods have good prediction and correction ability, which can provide certain technical support for the future temperature forecasting operations.

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Temporal and Spatial Distribution Characteristics of Cloud Amount in East of Hexi Corridor
ZHANG Yihai1, YANG Xiaoling1, CHEN Haibei2, MA Zhonghua1
Journal of Arid Meteorology    DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2015)-06-0979
Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Thunderstorm in Wuwei of Gansu Province
ZHANG Chunsong1, YANG Xiaoling2, LIU Rong1, ZHOU Hua3, HU Jinge2
Journal of Arid Meteorology    DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2015)-04-0659
Analysis of a Heavy Rainfall Process in Wuwei of Gansu in 2013
ZHAO Dongxu1,YANG Xiaoling1,ZHOU Hua2,LIU Rong3
Journal of Arid Meteorology    2015, 33 (1): 149-155.   DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2015)-01-0149
Abstract1449)      PDF(pc) (3581KB)(2154)       Save

Based on the conventional weather charts,FY - 2D satellite images,surface meteorological data,physical quantity field and NCEP reanalysis data,a heavy rainfall process which occurred on August 6, 2013 in Wuwei of Gansu Province was systematically diagnosed. The results show that the heavy rainfall was caused by interaction of multiple factors under a certain large - scale circulation background. Dramatic change of surface meteorological factors was an energy release process of strong convection weather. Local high humidity and moisture convergence provided an abundant moisture source. High - level divergence,low - level convergence and strong rising motion were the dynamic conditions. Strong unstable energy and unstable stratification were the necessary conditions of enhancing the convection enhancement and rainfall intensity increase. Development and strengthening of convective cloud clusters resulted in heavy rainfall process.

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